GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY SERIES

THE GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY CRISIS: FOUR SHOCKS, NINE REGIONS, NO PLAN

A region-by-region assessment of who is exposed, who has a plan, and what the next twelve months hold (2026–2027).

For the first time in modern memory, four shocks are hitting the world’s food system at once: a record El Niño, a fertilizer shock from the Strait of Hormuz, a diesel shortage and a closed Black Sea. The Global Food Security Crisis assesses nine regions on one consistent track, so they can be compared directly.

Key Findings

The Commandeleven intelligence advantage //

07

AOR Theaters

400+

Humint assets

800+

Intel Reports

24/7

Threat Monitoring

2026

Global Assessment

SERVICES //

Capabilities

REGIONS //

Theaters of Operation

INTELLIGENCE HUB //

Threat Verticals

01

Threat landscape analysis & regional security assessments.

02

Strategic threat modeling & mitigation planning.

03

Influence detection, grey zone operations & narrative analysis.

Latest Intelligence

The Taliban and Europe’s Fear of Migrants

European governments are negotiating directly with the Taliban to speed deportations, and the contact is drifting toward de facto recognition.

Qeshm, the Qataris and the Post-Midterm Window: Iran, Hormuz and the Fog of War

The US struck Qeshm Island the night before the midterms while Qatar mediates and allies brace for post-election strikes. What

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 11: Closing Synthesis and the Series Scorecard

We scored 41 forecasts from our April 2026 assessment: 8 confirmed, 18 partly confirmed, 4 not confirmed and 11 open.

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 10: Cyber-Kinetic Convergence

Most of our cyber-kinetic chapter describes events that had already happened, and most of those hold up: the AWS data

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 9: ISKP, the Islamic State’s Engine Room

We scored four judgments from our April 2026 assessment on Islamic State Khorasan Province: three partly confirmed and one open,

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 6: North Africa, Southeast Asia and the Sulu Sea

We scored three judgments from our April 2026 assessment on Southeast Asia, the Sulu Sea and North Africa: one partly

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 8: Latin America

We scored two Latin America judgments from our April 2026 assessment, and both are partly confirmed: 1 of 2. Colombia's

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 7: Europe and North America

We scored four Europe and North America judgments from our April 2026 assessment: none confirmed, one partly confirmed, one not

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 5: The Middle East and Levant

We scored six Middle East and Levant judgments from our April 2026 assessment: one confirmed, two partly confirmed and three

Intelligence dossier series

Hezbollah After Nasrallah: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

Hezbollah is weaker than at any time since the 1990s, but not finished. A series on its leaders, weapons, disarmament,

Running to Disaster: The Complete Series

CommandEleven's eight-part study of how Pakistan's radicalization and terrorism problem was built, from the US-funded 'Alphabet of Jihad' and KGB

The Makkah Pact: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

A CommandEleven Intelligence series on the Makkah Pact’s first test: Operation Yemen Dawn, Pakistan’s role, the Houthi airport war, the

The Afghan Fracture: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

A series on the Moscow Format's collapse, the Pakistan-Taliban border war, Russia's and India's real roles in Kabul, and what

The Garrison State: How the IRGC Consolidated Power Inside Iran

CommandEleven's rewritten Garrison State series: how the IRGC filled the vacuum at the top of Iran's wartime government, whether it

Information Warfare & Radicalization in the AI Era: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

A series on how extremist narratives mobilize, how AI and algorithms accelerate them, and what the evidence says about countering

A Region Under Pressure: The Pakistan-Afghanistan Series

A series on Pakistan's 2026: the open war with the Afghan Taliban, the TTP sanctuary, al-Qaeda in Kabul and the

The Global Food Security Crisis: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

El Niño, Hormuz fertilizer, a diesel shortage and a closed Black Sea are hitting food systems at once. A region-by-region

The Sahel Collapse: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

The Sahel Collapse series intro: Mali's administrative failure, JNIM's sieges, Russia's Africa Corps, the inter-jihadi war and international abandonment.

CommandEleven Intelligence's 2026 Global Counter-Terrorism Assessment

THE PARADIGM HAS SHIFTED

The global threat landscape has moved beyond the era of centralized hierarchies. In 2026, the primary adversary is a decentralized, digitally-native network operating at algorithmic speed. The gap between a “Cognitive Opening” on a gaming platform and a kinetic strike in a major metropolitan center has compressed to under 45 days.

Are your defense protocols calibrated for the Distributed Strike Doctrine?

The 2026 Global Counter-Terrorism Assessment is the definitive blueprint for navigating this new multi-domain battlespace. This comprehensive intelligence assessment provides the technical telemetry, behavioral matrices, and strategic mitigation frameworks required to disrupt the modern terror supply chain at its digital origin.