GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY SERIES

THE GLOBAL FOOD SECURITY CRISIS: FOUR SHOCKS, NINE REGIONS, NO PLAN

A region-by-region assessment of who is exposed, who has a plan, and what the next twelve months hold (2026–2027).

For the first time in modern memory, four shocks are hitting the world’s food system at once: a record El Niño, a fertilizer shock from the Strait of Hormuz, a diesel shortage and a closed Black Sea. The Global Food Security Crisis assesses nine regions on one consistent track, so they can be compared directly.

Key Findings

The Commandeleven intelligence advantage //

07

AOR Theaters

400+

Humint assets

800+

Intel Reports

24/7

Threat Monitoring

2026

Global Assessment

SERVICES //

Capabilities

REGIONS //

Theaters of Operation

INTELLIGENCE HUB //

Threat Verticals

01

Threat landscape analysis & regional security assessments.

02

Strategic threat modeling & mitigation planning.

03

Influence detection, grey zone operations & narrative analysis.

Latest Intelligence

Qeshm, the Qataris and the Post-Midterm Window: Iran, Hormuz and the Fog of War

The US struck Qeshm Island the night before the midterms while Qatar mediates and allies brace for post-election strikes. What

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 11: Closing Synthesis and the Series Scorecard

We scored 41 forecasts from our April 2026 assessment: 8 confirmed, 18 partly confirmed, 4 not confirmed and 11 open.

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 10: Cyber-Kinetic Convergence

Most of our cyber-kinetic chapter describes events that had already happened, and most of those hold up: the AWS data

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 9: ISKP, the Islamic State’s Engine Room

We scored four judgments from our April 2026 assessment on Islamic State Khorasan Province: three partly confirmed and one open,

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 6: North Africa, Southeast Asia and the Sulu Sea

We scored three judgments from our April 2026 assessment on Southeast Asia, the Sulu Sea and North Africa: one partly

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 8: Latin America

We scored two Latin America judgments from our April 2026 assessment, and both are partly confirmed: 1 of 2. Colombia's

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 7: Europe and North America

We scored four Europe and North America judgments from our April 2026 assessment: none confirmed, one partly confirmed, one not

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 5: The Middle East and Levant

We scored six Middle East and Levant judgments from our April 2026 assessment: one confirmed, two partly confirmed and three

GCTA Foresight Audit, Part 4: East Africa

We scored four East Africa judgments from our April 2026 assessment: two confirmed, one partly confirmed and one open, 2.5

Intelligence dossier series

Hezbollah After Nasrallah: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

Hezbollah is weaker than at any time since the 1990s, but not finished. A series on its leaders, weapons, disarmament,

Running to Disaster: The Complete Series

CommandEleven's eight-part study of how Pakistan's radicalization and terrorism problem was built, from the US-funded 'Alphabet of Jihad' and KGB

The Makkah Pact: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

A CommandEleven Intelligence series on the Makkah Pact’s first test: Operation Yemen Dawn, Pakistan’s role, the Houthi airport war, the

The Afghan Fracture: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

A series on the Moscow Format's collapse, the Pakistan-Taliban border war, Russia's and India's real roles in Kabul, and what

The Garrison State: How the IRGC Consolidated Power Inside Iran

CommandEleven's rewritten Garrison State series: how the IRGC filled the vacuum at the top of Iran's wartime government, whether it

Information Warfare & Radicalization in the AI Era: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

A series on how extremist narratives mobilize, how AI and algorithms accelerate them, and what the evidence says about countering

A Region Under Pressure: The Pakistan-Afghanistan Series

A series on Pakistan's 2026: the open war with the Afghan Taliban, the TTP sanctuary, al-Qaeda in Kabul and the

The Global Food Security Crisis: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

El Niño, Hormuz fertilizer, a diesel shortage and a closed Black Sea are hitting food systems at once. A region-by-region

The Sahel Collapse: A CommandEleven Intelligence Series

The Sahel Collapse series intro: Mali's administrative failure, JNIM's sieges, Russia's Africa Corps, the inter-jihadi war and international abandonment.

CommandEleven Intelligence's 2026 Global Counter-Terrorism Assessment

THE PARADIGM HAS SHIFTED

The global threat landscape has moved beyond the era of centralized hierarchies. In 2026, the primary adversary is a decentralized, digitally-native network operating at algorithmic speed. The gap between a “Cognitive Opening” on a gaming platform and a kinetic strike in a major metropolitan center has compressed to under 45 days.

Are your defense protocols calibrated for the Distributed Strike Doctrine?

The 2026 Global Counter-Terrorism Assessment is the definitive blueprint for navigating this new multi-domain battlespace. This comprehensive intelligence assessment provides the technical telemetry, behavioral matrices, and strategic mitigation frameworks required to disrupt the modern terror supply chain at its digital origin.