It’s not the First, and definitely not the Last

As the nation discusses PMOLeaks, we, at CommandEleven, are neither surprised nor shocked that the Prime Minister House and the Government of Pakistan was the target of this cyber operation. This has been slowly expanding since 2017 with no response, or change in protection tactics, from the Government of Pakistan, security institutions nor intelligence organizations.

While yet ANOTHER commission and ANOTHER JIT is being formed to investigate the source of the leaks, we can be assured that this leak is nothing compared to what is coming in the future.

Before anyone assumes CommandEleven has entered the conspiracy theory game, this analysis will lay each KNOWN breach of security and either institutional or individual response to assure it doesn’t occur again.

For years, Pakistan’s security apparatus, politicians and establishment has allowed these problems to occur because of their inability to understand, combat or counter any of the new forms of tradecraft being implemented today.

This was not the first breach, and sadly will not be the last.

Let’s be clear – many previous lapses created the situation that Pakistan struggles with, without response nor corrective measures.

Let’s start by discussing tradecraft and its implications on the operations of a nation.

Tradecraft

What we are seeing are different forms of tradecraft. Tradecraft is a term usually associated with state espionage, but has been modified over time since the inception of 4th and 5th Generation warfare.

Tradecraft is encompassed with all the methods and tactics that can be used to gather intelligence against any party, individual, politician, judge, general or institution. However, tradecraft is used by both invaders and protectors, making a second potential layer that can be compromised.

Basically, any information that is publicly available, or can be privately acquired, is information that can be compromised by foreign state and non-state actors.

In the past, before the introduction of information warfare, tradecraft was all paper, signals and human gathered intelligence.

Now, we all live in a different world…

How Tradecraft Changed

With the inception of entertainment, the intelligence world found a way to “craft” the minds of people, both foreign and domestic, to a point of view, a course of action or violence. While wars were being fought in the news media, talk shows and other means, the people were never affected because they spent a total of one hour watching the news from 6-7 pm, with the rest of the time watching programs crafted to entertain them.

Then, the Goebbels’ of the world awoke.

Slowly, the world saw their television programs, movies and entertainment overall changed. Public interests started to introduce the concepts that “elite society” stood opposed too. State enemies became entertainment-focused enemies to build and ferment bias. And, as entertainment changed, news media also changed into infotainment – news designed to entertain.

For the international media, this was a blockbuster for their bank accounts, but it did nothing for determining the ACTUAL effect on the population. So, the “powers that be,” whether they be in the government or the media, started opinion polls to start judging how many “hearts and minds” targeting with the “message of the day.”

Much like Goebbels sought methods to better deliver his message to the people of Nazi Germany, the “elite society” decided they needed other methods to be able to infiltrate the minds of their targets.

Thus, came the internet.

The internet opened new doors and opportunities to not only gather, but manipulate opinions. From yesterday’s text-only discussion forums to today’s social media, the world was given voice, whether it was positive or negative, without any controls or management.

Goebbels would be pleased.

Technology made tradecraft significantly easier. Technology gave the world the most effective espionage, surveillance and monitoring tool – the smart phone. Thus, tradecraft transformed into information warfare, which is commonly known as Fourth Generation or Fifth Generation Warfare (4GW/5GW). From financials and emails to calls and pictures, every individual could now be tracked. monitored, surveilled directly, without the need for shells or human contact. But, most importantly, all the information that companies, governments, politicians and foreign intelligence agencies wanted was being posted, commented and shared by the individuals themselves – making building accurate individual’s profiles very easy.

Executive Director at CommandEleven

Syed Khalid Muhammad, the Founder and Executive Director of CommandEleven, brings over three decades of leadership experience, guiding organizations globally in the realms of security, technology, marketing, and management. Notably, he authored "Agency Rules: Never an Easy Day at the Office," a pioneering espionage novel published in 2013. This novel holds historical significance as the first English-language espionage novel written by a Pakistani, achieving international bestseller status and currently available on Amazon.

Furthermore, Syed Khalid Muhammad has made notable appearances on several international TV channels, providing insightful analysis on security and geopolitics.

Since the establishment of CommandEleven in 2015, Khalid has expanded his expertise to encompass analysis, risk and threat assessment, and consultancy in the fields of terrorism, counter-terrorism, counterintelligence, geopolitics, and cognitive warfare. Within CommandEleven, he has successfully cultivated a comprehensive human and electronic intelligence network spanning the Indian subcontinent. Continuously growing, this network extends into various conflict zones globally, providing CommandEleven with actionable, real-time intelligence that forms the foundation of its analytical endeavors.

CommandEleven currently serves multiple clients, including corporate giants, by assisting them in analysis related to security, threat assessment, and threat mitigation strategies in Pakistan and Afghanistan.

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